Frustration is Setting In

Just as the title says, frustration is setting in with me with respect to the Christmas Eve storm.GRRRRRRRRR!Whew.I required to get that out of my system.We are 24 to 36 hours from the start and end of the Christmas Eve storm.Oddly, the computer models are having an incredibly hard time locking in to a solution.When you believe they are starting to hone in on something, some flip and some flop.

onight new information is currently streaming in.When I liken the forecast surface temperature to the actual temperature over the first couple hours of the simulation run, it is not handling the temperatures well.That doesn't bode well for something that is 24 hours down the road.I had planned on showing you the new run of the NAM model and what it is indicating for snow totals, but this is the example I am referring to above.Since it isn't handling the temperatures well, it makes it hard to make any hope in its snow accumulation amounts.There are several scenarios that could pan out.However the want of phasing between the northern part of the force with the southern part of energy (as explained in earlier posts) should save us on the lighter side.I nevertheless think we will see some snow, but I can also indicate the type of us getting flurries to a dusting.Snow could get to return as early as mid-afternoon Friday, but the brunt of the blow should fall starting in the evening.Snow should be complete by 7am Saturday.A bill to those of you look for new careers. If you don't like stress, don't go towards the Meteorology field.hahaI am not certain how much I will be capable to update tomorrow as I will be celebrating an early Christmas with my family since I am working Christmas day/evening.If I do post during the day, don't carry anything too in depth.I might be capable to throw a bit more deeper insights later Christmas Eve night.11:20pm Update:The new GFS model data is in.It is showing drier air in space over the viewing area, so don't be surprised to see the radar looking like it should be snowing and naught is striking the ground.That is because it may be snowing 8,000 feet in the air but is getting sucked up by the dry air.The column should be moist enough to let it hit the land around 6:00pm to 7:00pm.The pattern is showing 0.10" of swimming to go with.This pattern is fluffing this up to 1.1" of snow.This fits inside of my 1"-3" range.I do intend some places, mainly to the south, will get nothing more than a dusting and 3" may be a little extreme.We shall see....